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thomas201

Eastern Panhandle WV

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Posted: 01/22/23 04:58pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

GM spending $854 million on V-8, and $64 million on EV.

GM investment

Next there are almost 1.5 billion motor vehicles in the world, Tesla made 1.37 million last year. So, just over 1,000 years to go. So, if dropping carbon dioxide is your goal, then you will not achieve it by producing cars, that front load the carbon dioxide. Numbers range from 5 to 8 years to pay out an EV on carbon dioxide. Not to mention the greenhouse gas production from the infrastructure.

Just an engineer playing with the numbers. You must look at the entire system, not just one part (car). Better to make a fuel from atmospheric or industrial waste carbon dioxide, with renewable energy, than build a billion cars/trucks, plus powerlines and power plants and charging stations. Just an estimated opinion. Replacing the existing thing is really a monumental job, underestimated by most who discuss the subject.

time2roll

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Posted: 01/22/23 07:25pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

thomas201 wrote:

Next there are almost 1.5 billion motor vehicles in the world, Tesla made 1.37 million last year. So, just over 1,000 years to go. So, if dropping carbon dioxide is your goal, then you will not achieve it by producing cars, that front load the carbon dioxide. Numbers range from 5 to 8 years to pay out an EV on carbon dioxide. Not to mention the greenhouse gas production from the infrastructure.

Just an engineer playing with the numbers. You must look at the entire system, not just one part (car). Better to make a fuel from atmospheric or industrial waste carbon dioxide, with renewable energy, than build a billion cars/trucks, plus powerlines and power plants and charging stations. Just an estimated opinion. Replacing the existing thing is really a monumental job, underestimated by most who discuss the subject.
Replacement is in progress no matter the fuel.

And besides how on earth did we build that 1.5 billion in only the past 120 years? Surely we are better at it today than even 50 years ago.


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thomas201

Eastern Panhandle WV

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Posted: 01/23/23 09:20am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Easy, we build about 80 million vehicles a year, but far and away they are internal combustion. Your task is to convert every facility in the world to EV production right now. It will take a long time, remember production heck, when Tesla started production?

Ideas are great, but real genius is putting something is every home on the planet, at a reasonable price. Large parts of Africa still do not have electricity. Maybe Asia? I haven't traveled there, but you can get a Hilux fixed by a mechanic in a mud hut in Africa.

stsmark

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Posted: 01/23/23 12:29pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Grit dog wrote:

@benny37, I have to laugh. I understand fully what body panel alignment is as well.
The funny part is while I’ve never driven a Tesla, you can’t swing a dead cat around here without hitting (seeing) one.
I have never once looked at one and thought, ugh that door gap is something only a mother could love….
Idk, pretty weak argument imo.
Coming from someone like me who’s decidedly pro dead dinosaurs vehicles, if one has to say stupid things to try to support their decision or argument, it’s time to pick another fight….


Grit agreed, I live in Tesla heaven, CA Wine Country. On a daily basis I see more of them now than say Camrys. In my neighborhood of 220 homes there are at least a dozen now 80% Model Ys.
There is a 12 stall Supercharger in the shopping center right outside the entrance to our development. Average 4 cars there at a time. There is no towing accessible stall so that will be entertaining when it comes about. I can’t recall ever seeing a Tesla towing anything around here though. Being a manual wheelchair user I thought it was cool they have an Accessible stall. The bummer is I have never seen a more cheated spot.
I was 40 year Maintenance Tech on Bizjets so I have a good eye for detail and I think the panel gap deal is over blown. Maybe early on.
I will say the only Tesla I’ve ever seen on a tow truck was Model X with one of the Falcon doors half open.

d1h

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Posted: 01/23/23 02:06pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

[image]Ahh, the good old days.

free radical

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Posted: 01/23/23 09:21pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

thomas201 wrote:

Easy, we build about 80 million vehicles a year, but far and away they are internal combustion. Your task is to convert every facility in the world to EV production right now. It will take a long time, remember production heck, when Tesla started production?

Ideas are great, but real genius is putting something is every home on the planet, at a reasonable price. Large parts of Africa still do not have electricity. Maybe Asia? I haven't traveled there, but you can get a Hilux fixed by a mechanic in a mud hut in Africa.


Never been to Asia ? You like shoping? Heres a good place to visit

https://youtu.be/n0Q-l9WIGjU


If we dont do enough evs someone else will

https://youtu.be/q5GGCVIEYts

time2roll

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Posted: 01/23/23 09:50pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

d1h wrote:

Ahh, the good old days.
Yes at less than 10 cents people complained about the gas back then too. Good pay was $5 for a 12 hour shift.

propchef

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Posted: 01/24/23 06:03am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

thomas201 wrote:

Easy, we build about 80 million vehicles a year, but far and away they are internal combustion. Your task is to convert every facility in the world to EV production right now. It will take a long time, remember production heck, when Tesla started production?

Ideas are great, but real genius is putting something is every home on the planet, at a reasonable price. Large parts of Africa still do not have electricity. Maybe Asia? I haven't traveled there, but you can get a Hilux fixed by a mechanic in a mud hut in Africa.


If they don't have electricity, how can they fix a truck in a mud hut?

BTW, large parts of the US still don't have electricity. Ask the Navajo Nation. #themoreyouknow

Conversion won't happen overnight but we're past the event horizon for EVs and EV production will only grow from here.

Tesla took over the NUMMI plant from Toyota and converted it to EV production. It's now the biggest car factory in the US, making more cars than Toyota ever did. The biggest hurdles they faced were regulatory and union issues. Logistically it wasn't that hard.

https://electrek.co/2022/06/11/tesla-produces-more-cars-fremont-factory-than-gm-toyota/

The BMW plant in SC is another great example. Hybrids and conventional ICE vehicles are made in the same plant, and BMW even makes the batteries there.

ppine

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Posted: 01/24/23 10:09am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

I see no plan or intent to replace gas engines with EVs. Okay maybe in California. EVs are a tool in the tool box. They seem best suited for commuter vehicles in urban environments. Now there are conversion kits to power classic cars and sports cars with electric motors. EVs may just be a stepping stone to hydrogen powered cars or the next tech after that.

Diesel engines deserve some special mention, but don't seem to get much appreciation in the US by law makers. In Europe over half the cars run on diesel. All of the trucks. There are diesel lawn mowers and outboard motors most places outside the US. Diesel can be converted to hydrogen. They can run on peanut oil, waste cooking oil, fuel from algae and fuel from wood. Diesel tech will be around for a long time.

We are likely to have a mix of power sources for transportation for the next 20 years or so until one stands out and gets promoted by the government.

map40

Florida

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Posted: 01/24/23 11:08am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

stsmark wrote:

Grit dog wrote:

@benny37, I have to laugh. I understand fully what body panel alignment is as well.
The funny part is while I’ve never driven a Tesla, you can’t swing a dead cat around here without hitting (seeing) one.
I have never once looked at one and thought, ugh that door gap is something only a mother could love….
Idk, pretty weak argument imo.
Coming from someone like me who’s decidedly pro dead dinosaurs vehicles, if one has to say stupid things to try to support their decision or argument, it’s time to pick another fight….


Grit agreed, I live in Tesla heaven, CA Wine Country. On a daily basis I see more of them now than say Camrys. In my neighborhood of 220 homes there are at least a dozen now 80% Model Ys.
There is a 12 stall Supercharger in the shopping center right outside the entrance to our development. Average 4 cars there at a time. There is no towing accessible stall so that will be entertaining when it comes about. I can’t recall ever seeing a Tesla towing anything around here though. Being a manual wheelchair user I thought it was cool they have an Accessible stall. The bummer is I have never seen a more cheated spot.
I was 40 year Maintenance Tech on Bizjets so I have a good eye for detail and I think the panel gap deal is over blown. Maybe early on.
I will say the only Tesla I’ve ever seen on a tow truck was Model X with one of the Falcon doors half open.

Let me explain my point of view on the matter. The point is not the panel gap, it is the reason why there is a panel gap. It simply talks about how good the dimensional control of the stamping process and the designs is. Fit & finish simply tell you how well everything comes toghether. For us, the guys forged in the automotive industry, that is the tell sign of a vehicle that was design with an inmature process.
Normally you make the assumption that the rest of the systems have the same issue, and it shows in the statistics. Testa is the leader in Electric vehicles technology and software, but the rest of the vehicle is 3 to 4 times worse than the industry average, showing the exact problem that the "big gaps" insinuate: inmature design and process.
The other automakers don't have such as many electrical, suspension, doors, or lights issues because they have been building vehicles for a long time.
The best example is the Nissan Leaf. The car is bullet-proof. Unbeatable from every angle, except the battery technology. Due to lack of cooling, unpropperly used batteries would significantly degrade rapidly. (And most people are unaware on how to use it). Tesla has a great battery system in comparison.
Today you can find Leafs in Europe with 300K miles stil with original everything, exccept the battery.


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