Good Sam Club Open Roads Forum: Covid-19 in Guerrero
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 > Covid-19 in Guerrero

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Wm.Elliot

Northeast

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Posted: 06/07/20 04:44am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

We are back in Maine after cutting our visit to Mexico short. Maine has the oldest population in the US - older than Florida's population. Covid19 has had a very small impact here - killing less than 100 people - mostly people that were very old or not healthy previously.More than 50% of those killed were already in nursing homes.
The virus was initially predicted to have a 4-5% mortality rate - thus far in the US I believe the mortality rate is .4%
I suspect many more people have either had the virus and not even known it or had the virus with very slight symptoms which I take to mean that the virus is much less fatal than it was said to be.
Some states (a very few, really)have been hit harder than the others.People (including me) are getting restless and angry with the responses which vary from state to state. Trustworthy news is hard to find.
I have seen images of the crematorium in CDMX belching black smoke and running at capacity. I've seen webcams of deserted beaches and city squares. It's not like that here in the US. Other than obesity - and the US has plenty of that as well, I'm not sure why the contrast between the US (which many feel did not respond adequately) is so stark. US states that have reopened have not had the calamity that was predicted.
Just my observations.....





pianotuna

Regina, SK, Canada

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Posted: 06/07/20 07:43am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Calculating the death rate is not easy when there are variables.

One way to calculated without variables is to divide deaths / (deaths + recovered).

In USA as of June 7th 2020 that yields a rate of 12.97%

World wide, the death rate is about 10.50%


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Talleyho69

Playa la Ropa, Zihuatanejo, Mexico

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Posted: 06/07/20 09:44am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

It's a little bit different here in our tourist town of Zihuatanejo.

We have had 18 confirmed cases, all have recovered. We have pretty much been closed to the outside world since April 3. Everything is closed except grocery stores and markets, even our beaches.

Yesterday the first international flight arrived from the US, and it was full. We are back on the at least weekly schedule for similar flights. Yes, we need the tourists, desperately.

How long do you think it will be until it starts coming in on the flights, with those that drive in, and especially what we get so much of, the bus people? They purchase full day to two night trips here from all over Mexico, arriving by the busload. Before the "crisis" we typically had over 100 buses every weekend.

pianotuna

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Posted: 06/07/20 12:57pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Tallyhoe69,

I suspect the very first bus will kindle the outbreak.

Talleyho69

Playa la Ropa, Zihuatanejo, Mexico

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Posted: 06/07/20 01:06pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Unfortunately, you could be right but things must go on.

Tequila

Canada - Summer, Mexico - Winter

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Posted: 06/08/20 09:22pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Friends of mine in Melaque told me tour buses form guadalajara showed up in town over the weekend, until now there have been no cases. I don't think that will last

Talleyho69

Playa la Ropa, Zihuatanejo, Mexico

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Posted: 06/09/20 06:37am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

They aren't here yet, but likely will be soon.

iguana07

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Posted: 06/14/20 11:09am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

I know you can’t believe everything you read.
Today’s LA Times:
Mexico 142,000 cases reported.
16,000 deaths reported.
1 in 5 cases involve health care workers due to lack of PPE.
Article states that only one third of cases and deaths are actually reported, jumping cases and deaths three fold.


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Talleyho69

Playa la Ropa, Zihuatanejo, Mexico

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Posted: 06/14/20 11:22am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Remember that it's being approached differently here. Unless you are strongly suspected to have it, you are not tested.

RobWNY

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Posted: 06/14/20 11:50am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Thanks for sharing that info. Unfortunately, I don't thing any of us are getting the real truth as far as the numbers are concerned. I've heard professionals say the numbers are greater than what's being reported and I've heard from professionals that say they're cooking the books inflating the numbers so they get Federal funding. Personally, I don't believe any of the numbers and just stay as responsible as I can while still venturing out.


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