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 > HURRICANE IRMA could be a Cat 5 !

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thomasmnile

Lake Mary, FL

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Posted: 09/08/17 09:38am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Avoiding the hysteria and hype being pedaled by the Central Florida media, an ABC network affiliate in particular, reading the 11 am forecast advisory from the NHC there's actually some promising news. If you look at the 120 hour intensity forecast, the wind speed is currently projected to be around 130 mph at landfall (if that happens), and rapidly degrades over 72 hours. The windspeed intensity forecast for our neck of the inland woods showed a 60 percent chance of hurricane force winds last night, now down to 30 percent, and a 70 percent chance of 50 mph winds, down from 90 percent. I like what I'm reading.......... So, we watch and wait.

8.1 Van

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Posted: 09/08/17 12:33pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Irma almost back to Cat 5 ( above 155mph) again.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 38A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

...EYE OF HURRICANE IRMA MONITORED BY HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES AND
CUBAN RADARS...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 76.0W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES


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bagman

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Posted: 09/08/17 02:38pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

All of our family and friends in Florida are staying put and not evacuating, which I feel is a huge mistake! My wife and I went through Hurricane Charlie and all I have to say is, "never again!" Hearing trees snapping in half through the night, trees falling down on homes and cars, and after we went to bed in Deltona, the window screen was literally sucked out of the window frame and the mosquitoes literally ate us alive while we were in bed! Charlie hit land in Punta Gorda and it followed us over to Deltona. Next time we're in Florida and a Hurricane is projected to hit, we are leaving ASAP and heading north! Bags.


Land of Opportunity & Liberty 4 ALL!

thomasmnile

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Posted: 09/08/17 04:55pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Well, old Irma ain't reading the script. Still moving west despite the dreaded turn to the North predictions. At this point, somebody(s) somewhere along the Gulf Coast ain't gonna be happy.

mike brez

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Posted: 09/09/17 08:45am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Daytona Beach yesterday

Trucks bringing sand to beach
[image]

Getting empty
[image]
[image]

Line for water rations
[image]

[image]


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8.1 Van

Millstone NJ

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Posted: 09/09/17 10:03am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

It lost it's steam riding along the Cuban coastline.
11:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 9
Location: 22.8°N 79.8°W
Moving: W at 9 mph
Min pressure: 941 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph

* This post was edited 09/09/17 05:16pm by 8.1 Van *

mike brez

milford ct

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Posted: 09/09/17 10:10am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

It's that 90 miles of open water from Cuba to key west could pick up some steam.
Might end up a cat 3

8.1 Van

Millstone NJ

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Posted: 09/09/17 11:22am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

5:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 9
Location: 23.4°N 80.5°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 933 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph

* This post was last edited 09/09/17 05:16pm by 8.1 Van *   View edit history

Aquanut

Naples Florida

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Posted: 09/09/17 03:36pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

We have been picking up wind and feeder bands for a few hours now. The track is still going west with no turn yet

8.1 Van

Millstone NJ

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Posted: 09/09/17 04:54pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Key West video from live cam !

[image]

Key West looks to be the first Irma landfall with Cat 4 winds (135-140mph).

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